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explain why obesity rates have tripled?            participants.
          Although the American diet is likely a key         My team’s research has compiled weight,
         contributor, a wealth of research points to        body fat percentages and average step
         a reduction in physical activity as a major        counts for large numbers of adults between
         culprit behind the expanding waist lines –         19 and 40 years of age. From that data, we
         and step counts are an excellent indicator of      have identified a way to determine specific
         physical activity.                                 step count goals based on key physical
          Step counts may – or may not – lead to            attributes – namely, baseline body weight
         weight loss                                        and composition, and the desired body
                                                            composition.
                                                             When it comes to health, it is important
                                                            to remember that body weight does not tell
                                                            the whole story. In fact, body composition
                                                            is much more predictive of health status
                                                            than body weight. Someone who weighs
                                                            more than another person may be in better
                                                            health if they have more muscle mass and a
                                                            lower percentage of body fat than the other
                                                            person who weighs less but has a higher
                                                            proportion of body fat.
                                                           Parsing the numbers
          A number of recent studies have looked           We have used our data to develop a model
         at whether increasing step counts can             that predicts average daily step counts per
         lead to weight loss over a certain period of      unit of fat mass from body fat percentage.
         time. One large-scale study called a meta-        We believe that this model can be used to
         analysis concluded that increasing physical       determine how much people would need to
         activity by way of step counts was effective      walk to achieve a specific amount of weight
         for attaining modest weight loss. However,        and body fat reduction.
         many if not most studies examining the              Take, for instance, a man who weighs
         effect of exercise on weight loss report          175 pounds (80 kilograms), of which 25%
         modest outcomes, with results that are            is fat. Our model suggests that he walks
         variable and often disappointing.                 an average of 10,900 steps a day. Then
          That may be in part because the step count       consider another man who weighs 220
         targets used in many weight management            pounds (100 kilograms), of which 20% is
         studies are most often set in an arbitrary        fat. Although they have different amounts
         manner, such as targeting 10,000 steps            of lean mass, both men have about 44
         per day. Or, if they’re individualized at         pounds (20 kilograms) of fat. So our model
         all, they’re based on initial behavioral          predicts that the heavier man walks an
         characteristics, like adding a given number       average of 15,300 steps a day. In other
         of steps to what a person is already              words, the heavier person has a lower
         accumulating in a typical day. Rarely, if         percentage of body fat and walks more to
         ever, are the step targets in research studies    maintain that leaner body composition.
         based on any physical attributes of the             A person’s body fat percentage is every


        SENIORS TODAY | ISSUE #52 | OCTOBER 2023                                                            25
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